Michigan
W-L: (13- 7) PR = 93.9183Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Notre Dame ACC (12- 6, 93.4) 10-12 213 A Florida Big 12 (15- 4, 93.4) 12-10 215 A South Florida AAC (12- 5, 88.7) 16-10 221 N Boston College ACC (10- 8, 92.7) 10- 9 228 H Yale Ivy League (13- 5, 91.9) 6-11 306 H Central Michigan MAC ( 4-12, 74.4) 23- 3 308 H Colorado Big 12 (16- 4, 93.9) 8- 7 315 A Southern California Big Ten ( 8- 9, 86.5) 15-11 322 A Penn State Big Ten (12- 7, 93.3) 11- 6 326 H Denver Big East (16- 4, 93.8) 12- 6 329 H Oregon Big Ten ( 6-10, 81.8) 16- 3 402 H Ohio State Big Ten ( 9- 8, 90.1) 10- 6 409 A Rutgers Big Ten (11- 9, 90.9) 12-13 412 A Johns Hopkins Big Ten (17- 5, 94.2) 6-13 416 H Maryland Big Ten (18- 4, 93.7) 15- 4 418 H Northwestern Big Ten (19- 3, 96.9) 7- 9 422 H Penn State Big Ten (12- 7, 93.3) 13-12 424 H Northwestern Big Ten (19- 3, 96.9) 7-10 508 H Mercer Big South (13- 7, 85.5) 18- 8 510 H Stanford ACC (17- 5, 95.9) 12-13
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Notre Dame 10-12 -2 -1 -1.17
213 A Florida 12-10 2 -1 + 2.87
215 A South Florida 16-10 6 4 + 2.15
221 N Boston College 10- 9 1 1 -0.19
228 H Yale 6-11 -5 3 --- -8.39
306 H Central Michigan 23- 3 20 21 0.00
308 H Colorado 8- 7 1 1 -0.38
315 A Southern California 15-11 4 6 - -2.02
322 A Penn State 11- 6 5 -1 ++ 5.80
326 H Denver 12- 6 6 2 ++ 4.50
329 H Oregon 16- 3 13 14 -0.50
402 H Ohio State 10- 6 4 5 -1.19
409 A Rutgers 12-13 -1 2 - -2.67
412 A Johns Hopkins 6-13 -7 -2 -- -5.33
416 H Maryland 15- 4 11 2 +++ 9.37
418 H Northwestern 7- 9 -2 -2 -0.37
422 H Penn State 13-12 1 2 -0.94
424 H Northwestern 7-10 -3 -2 -1.37
508 H Mercer 18- 8 10 10 0.20
510 H Stanford 12-13 -1 -1 -0.37
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Yale 6-11 -5 3 --- -8.39 412 A Johns Hopkins 6-13 -7 -2 -- -5.33 315 A Southern California 15-11 4 6 - -2.02 409 A Rutgers 12-13 -1 2 - -2.67 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 H Maryland 15- 4 11 2 +++ 9.37 322 A Penn State 11- 6 5 -1 ++ 5.80 326 H Denver 12- 6 6 2 ++ 4.50 213 A Florida 12-10 2 -1 + 2.87 215 A South Florida 16-10 6 4 + 2.15 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Notre Dame (12- 6, 93.4) 10-12 -6.52 33.65 1.37 0.87 -2.23
3 A Florida (15- 4, 93.4) 12-10 -6.48 33.69 1.37 0.87 60.73
3 A South Florida (12- 5, 88.7) 16-10 -11.20 28.97 1.37 0.87 52.56
3 N Boston College (10- 8, 92.7) 10- 9 -7.17 33.00 -0.00 0.87 57.16
3 H Yale (13- 5, 91.9) 6-11 -8.00 32.17 -1.37 0.87 -4.06
3 H Central Michig ( 4-12, 74.4) 23- 3 -25.50 14.67 -1.37 0.87 23.04
3 H Colorado (16- 4, 93.9) 8- 7 -5.99 34.18 -1.37 0.87 56.84
3 A Southern Calif ( 8- 9, 86.5) 15-11 -13.37 26.80 1.37 0.87 48.79
3 A Penn State (12- 7, 93.3) 11- 6 -6.55 33.61 1.37 0.87 60.60
3 H Denver (16- 4, 93.8) 12- 6 -6.12 34.05 -1.37 0.87 56.62
3 H Oregon ( 6-10, 81.8) 16- 3 -18.12 22.05 -1.37 0.87 35.83
3 H Ohio State ( 9- 8, 90.1) 10- 6 -9.80 30.36 -1.37 0.87 50.23
3 A Rutgers (11- 9, 90.9) 12-13 -9.02 31.15 1.37 0.87 -3.31
3 A Johns Hopkins (17- 5, 94.2) 6-13 -5.68 34.49 1.37 0.87 -1.87
3 H Maryland (18- 4, 93.7) 15- 4 -6.24 33.92 -1.37 0.87 56.40
3 H Northwestern (19- 3, 96.9) 7- 9 -2.98 37.18 -1.37 0.87 -1.88
3 H Penn State (12- 7, 93.3) 13-12 -6.55 33.61 -1.37 0.87 55.86
3 H Northwestern (19- 3, 96.9) 7-10 -2.98 37.18 -1.37 0.87 -1.88
3 H Mercer (13- 7, 85.5) 18- 8 -14.42 25.75 -1.37 0.87 42.24
3 H Stanford (17- 5, 95.9) 12-13 -3.98 36.19 -1.37 0.87 -2.32
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639.33
|
winning pts = 656.8846 losing points = -17.5540
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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